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- Car Theft Takes A Tumble: Here's Why
Car Theft Takes A Tumble: Here's Why
A series of factors help drive car theft down in all 50 states, but one city has the opposite behavior. Plus, why we can't be too careful.
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Issue #219
Today, we discuss car theft in the US and how its behavior is surprising everyone, except in one city, thanks to a nationwide drop.
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Market News
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Everyone wants a marketing hack that makes growing their business easier.
But according to business guru @MarketingMax (9 figures in attributable revenue delivered to clients), one of the best no-cost marketing hacks is finding the one angle that makes people foam at the mouth wanting what you sell.
Lucky for you @MarketingMax put together a quick 2-page Google Doc breaking down how to find yours in 10 minutes, with 20+ real examples you can steal from.
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In The Know
Car Theft Takes A Tumble, Except In One City
In 2020, car theft sharply increased. Some cities reported mind-boggling figures, honestly, with Minneapolis reporting a 537% increase in car theft by the end of 2020. You can read here about the multiple factors at play.
Limited police capacity to respond, restrictions, masks covering thieves’ faces (ironically), and desperation for money were just some of the reasons driving up car theft.
After the world reopened its doors, car theft decreased marginally, then it spiked around 2022, with two brands driving up crime rates: Kia and Hyundai. The “Kia Boyz” viralized car theft so much that if you had any model from these brands, you were basically a target, as reported here.
Now, the trend continues to drop, but not slightly. Car theft has sharply dropped. The National Insurance Crime Bureau reported 21% fewer incidents of car theft in 2026 than in 2025. You can read more about this significant drop here, and it’s important to note that this includes only car theft. VIN cloning and title fraud are not included.
The drop was consistent across all 50 states, with the District of Columbia leading the way. DC saw car theft reduced by half. Tennessee reduced it by 42% and Vermont by 37%. You can read about how the other states behaved, including yours, here.
However, one city was not as fortunate. While the country saw fewer car thefts, Chicago's increased by 2%. That’s not a lot, but it puts the city in a tough spot as the only one with an increase.
It’s hard to pinpoint a specific reason for this reduction, although several results are evident, such as Colorado's. You can read here how the state implemented harsher penalties, preventive measures, and education.
Overall, the car theft situation in America is improving, and it could become even less frequent as vehicles become more technologically advanced. At FWT, we’re not fans of how vehicles are turning into basically rolling computers. Yet, this complexity could deter car thieves in the near future, as this article explains.
However, we must not undermine criminal creativity.
In fact, one aspect of car theft has increased: rental car theft, but not for local use. As this article explains, Mexican cartels are stealing trucks and luxury SUVs to turn them into armored trucks. Yup.
The NICB has yet to disclose the most stolen cars in 2026. However, we can use last year’s findings as a reference. We’ll definitely revisit this as soon as the latest list comes out.
As this article highlights, the most stolen car in the US is the Hyundai Elantra, and the most stolen truck is the Chevrolet Silverado 1500.
For now, it’s all about taking appropriate measures to prevent car theft, because you can never be too careful.
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