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How This Deal Affects American Automakers
Backtracking tariffs could have a significant impact for American automakers, and not how most of us expect. We break it down.
Issue #147
Japan gets a tariff “break”, and the consequences are still unclear. We break it down.
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In The Know
What Does Japan’s Deal Mean For American Automakers?
We love our American cars (most of the FWT staff have had a GMT platform at some point in their lives), but we also have huge respect and affinity for Japanese cars. Again, most of our staff have had Toyotas as well.
We know we’re not alone. American car buyers love Japanese cars–evidence of this is that the RAV4 replaced the F-150 as the country’s most popular vehicle, as you can read here.
2025 has been a chaotic year for cars, to say the least, and things aren’t settling down. President Trump has just signed an executive order slashing US import duties on Japanese cars from 25% down to 15%, effective immediately—with retroactive effect back to August 7.
This news is confusing, as just weeks ago, Japan was hit with a 25% rate, prompting Japanese automakers to rush production to the US, as highlighted in this March article.
So, why the change? It’s a very complex political and economic topic, but this article does a great job of summarizing it.
We’ll summarize it even more. Japan has agreed to a $550 billion investment in the US, including markets such as chips, metals, pharma, energy, and yes, new factories.
Automatically, those of us in the automotive industry begin to wonder how this will affect the American automakers and whether it will hurt them. The answer is complicated.
First of all, several vocal groups, such as the United Auto Workers, have expressed their concerns.
This move might be unfair, pointing out that American vehicles still face up to 50% tariffs on steel and aluminum and 25% on parts, while Japanese brands benefit from a lower rate. You can read more about this here.
That is true, but in fairness to the industry, we must also flip the lens, though, and you’ll see why this matters for Japanese players—and American consumers. Smaller Japanese automakers like Mitsubishi, Mazda, and Subaru have taken serious hits under the old rules, even though the consumer didn’t feel the brunt of the tariffs for a while, as this article recalls.
However, things are starting to become more expensive. Mitsubishi might not be a bestseller in the US. Still, it faced a significant disadvantage when its most promising SUV saw a price increase that pushed it out of the competition.
The only benefit is that, in reality, it won’t be the only automaker hiking prices. Subaru is definitely more popular than Mitsubishi, and it has had to increase prices to stay afloat. Plus, it’s stripping down some models, as this article explains.
What’s ironic is that, once all this settles, the winner in this competition might (emphasis on “might”) be us: the consumer.
On the plus side, lower tariffs should give us more options, and good ones at that. Japanese cars are reliable, and some of them are fun, such as the new Honda Prelude. However, its price is already scaring enthusiasts away. Here’s a sneak peek.
However, the scale could swing against the American companies, and some of them aren’t having the best time. Ford is breaking records (and not good ones) left and right, and it won’t get better soon, according to this article.
Stellantis is, well, Stellantis. What can we expect? We don’t know. This company continues to surprise us, both in good and bad ways. One good thing to note is that there are high hopes for the new Cherokee, as explained here.
GM, on the other hand, is somewhat stable, with Buick performing well, the Equinox EV being a bestseller among all brands, and the company even bringing back the Camaro.
We discussed how Buick managed to be a bestseller by being reliable, unlike other brands. Read more about it here.
Here’s the real question—what happens next? Will we see more domestic investments to meet this challenge head-on? Or will this tariff reset create a gap between Japan and the US?
I think it’s the first one. What about you?
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